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GOLD (Daily) – Shadows over golds future… at least medium term - The spectacular rally since last August completely ran out of steam. The uptrend line btw Nov. and Jan. low was broken (with significant bearish pressure - weekly engulfing ) and the subsequent rally hit the wall at $1320 and a ...
GBPUSD (Intraday) – Supply still active around 1.3300 level with shorts in play - The bulls got a huge problem to take out the 1.3300 for good as sellers are very active. And it is not different this time around. We see a retest of 3295/3305 as a selling opportunity with possible targets visible ...
EURUSD (Daily) – Is the 1.1500 possible ahead of FOMC? - The bulls are trying to hold above 1.1300 what we find as a positive development. Daily close above may open the way towards the 1.1450/1550 levels that are close to the top of the channel. On the other hand daily ...
XAUUSD (Daily) – Bulls are in trouble below 1315/30 - The bulls do have a problem to move back above 1315 but despite that, still holding above 1300. If we see stronger dollar in coming days the 1300 might be broken. In that case (only in that case!) I will ...
USDJPY (Intraday) – Shorts in play within supply zone - Latest sharp move higher hit possible supply zone based on intraday chart. We see shorts in play with stops above that zone. First possible target is 109.70/50 second around 108.50. Should you have any questions feel free to contact us ...
GBPUSD (Daily) – Looking to sell rallies towards 1.3000 - Within the last three days bears were able to get back and hold below falling trendline. We are looking to sell rallies towards 1.3000 with first possible target around 1.2850 and the second around 1.2700. Also going to place the ...
Light Crude (CL1, Weekly) – Is there a reversal in crude or just a correction in downtrend? - The first week of the year crude made an impressive come back although it did not manage to close above the key $50 level. Oil seems to be oversold and some short covering was necessary. The engulfing pattern on the ...
EURJPY (Monthly) – Are we going to see 115? - The JPY begins 2019 with a boost as negative sentiment dominates the markets but from the perspective of this high TF (monthly chart) we would avoid the price chasing and would prefer to fade the rally towards the 127.50-ish. Should ...
DAX (Weekly) – Towards 5000 but is it possible? - We are done with small H&S formation but what about the "Monster" one? For now we may see some continuation to the downside towards 9500/9000 followed with some kind of bounce/rally. And that might be the rally that will create ...
NASDAQ (Daily) – Bears are fine while below 6370/4000 - We made a correct call about the shorts at the top of the channel (available here). The Bears are still happy below the 6370/6400 zone on daily basis and retest of the latest low is possible as well. The daily ...
NASDAQ (Daily) – Santa Claus rally? Let’s think again - It looks like a dead cat bounce for now as the bears took that post G20 rally as a selling opportunity. We need more fake news for bulls to retake 7200/7400.   Should you have any questions feel free to ...
EURUSD (Intraday) – 1.1300… Where from here? - We were right last time with the view of 1.1200 holding (link). Are bulls strong enough to hold 1.1300 this time, especially after Trump auto tariffs threat? If they can, we may see a rally towards 1.1500/50. If they can ...
GBPUSD – Critical 1.2660 as markets adapt to reality - The easy part of Brexit deal (agreement with EU) is done and now let’s do the business at home. Mrs May is facing a wall of a no-vote in parliament (70% probability as of now) and the 1.2660 level is ...
GBPUSD (Intraday) – Sellers in control below 1.2900 - Despite Brexit news the bulls were not able to close above 1.2900 yesterday. The bears are still in control and we do have a chance to see latest low or even 1.2650-ish (based on monthly chart). A rise and close ...
How do Chinese bonds do amid trade war tensions? - Chinese bonds - Just wondering what the trade war means for Chinese bonds as the 10-yr government bonds yield declined to 3.40% from 3.90% this year alone, while the 10-yr China Development Bank bonds yield slid to 3.80% from 4.80% ...
USDCAD (Intraday) – Possible demand, running for stops above 1.3260? - Overall dollar was trying to hold support on Friday, so we were testing a possible intraday demand. If it holds, we may see a run for stops above 1.3260.   Should you have any questions feel free to contact us ...
EURUSD – Might be under pressure on Italian budget crisis - This note is an addition to our earlier view available here. As the situation with Italian budget is getting very serious, especially with the possibility of a break up of ruling coalition and negative impact on Italian banks. Apart from ...
EURUSD (Intraday) – Are we going to find a support? - ...in relation to our view based on the weekly chart published a week ago (below article): A breakdown through an "ideal" double bottom formation and scenario 2 might be in play. The long weekend in US (market is open but ...
Crude Oil (CL Daily) – Is it a consolidation time? - President Trump was looking for lower prices of oil and here we go, a perfect timing! No doubt, the bears are under control but today’s price action (would like to see the daily close) suggests we may enter a consolidation ...
Ropa (CL Denný) – Je čas na konsolidáciu? - Prezident Trump sa snažil o nižšie ceny ropy a máme ich tu. Perfektné načasovanie! Bez pochýb medvede kontrolujú trh, ale dnešná tzv. price action (radi by sme ešte videli ukončenie dnešného obchodovania) nám naznačuje, že by sme mohli vstúpiť do fázy konsolidácie ...
Ropa (CL Denní) – Je čas na konsolidaci? - Prezident Trump se snažil o nižší ceny ropy a máme jich tu. Perfektní načasování! Bez pochyb medvědi kontrolují trh, ale dnešní tzv. price action (rádi bychom ještě viděli ukončení dnešního obchodování) nám naznačuje, že bychom mohli vstoupit do fáze konsolidace ...
A lesson from corporate bond space while 30-year US Trys rate is hitting the 4-year high - The US 30-year Trys rate touching 3.41% means printing a 4-yr high or a new high for the cycle. Lesson - historically if rates go up volatility goes up as well, thus creating a messy outlook for stocks, bonds and ...
Why are stock markets down? - Because of raising bond yields, Fed hiking, US economy taking a pause after peaking, consumer debt at extreme levels, US-CN showing trade muscles, high valuations…whatever you name is correct. But there is something behind the scenes and it is called ...
USDJPY (Weekly) – Bearish medium-/long-term - The current risk-off environment spurred the sell-off in the pair. On top of that last week close below 112.00 has also added to the bearish view (notice: trendline break, retest, rejection). An attempt to rally above 112.50/80 might be the ...
June 12, 2018 – Commodity Weekly: Calm commodity markets ahead of Fed, OPEC - Commodity markets had a volatile week but currently they are rather calm ahead of key events, the FOMC reate decision today and the OPEC meeting next week. Crude is stable just above recent lows while yesterday API reported surprise built ...
May 28, 2018 – Commodity Weekly: Corn turned south on crop progress, crude failed to break uptrend-line - Commodities continued to outperform last week except Energy sector, as OPEC and Russia were heard they may fill the gap left by Venezuela. As risk off mood spread into some Agri sectors more markets turned south. The strong dollar didn`t ...
May 21, 2018 – Commodity Weekly: Commodity markets in bullish mode despite strenghtening dollar - Commodities had a pretty strong few days as the Brent driven oil rally helped to lift prices in most of the sectors. The strengthening dollar hit precious metals the most, but the selloff wasn’t particularly heavy. Extreme speculative positioning however ...
Apr 25, 2018 – Commodity Weekly: Energy and metals driven commodity rally seems to lose momentum - Commodity markets were driven last week by energy sector and industrial metals due to US sanctions on Russian interest (especially aluminium and nickel prices were pushed higher). However beginning of the week we could see weakening oil bulls and an ...
Apr 17, 2018 – Commodity Weekly – Crude rallied on Syria despite increased US inventories, sugar depressed further, grains helped by cold weather - Commodities were pushed higher last week by weaker dollar and geopolitical tension, namely US-Russian as the most significant. However the grain sector was supported weather factors, especially in the US mid-west. Sugar prices were further depressed by bigger than expected ...
Apr 10, 2018 – Commodity Weekly: Oil rebounded from 2015 highs, sugar still under pressure despite divergence - The commodity prices index didn’t change much the previous week, although there was a drop in BBG commodity index by 0.6%. The main driver was the energy sector, especially oil that took the hit after inventories in Cushing have risen ...
Apr 4, 2018 – Commodity Weekly: Crude, Corn forming double top, more downside for sugar ahead - While Crude corrected ahead of key resistance on easing ME tension, grain traders were surprised by the USDA corn and soybeans ending stocks (higher than estimates) and acreage estimates (surprisingly balanced). Sugar is on the other hand pressured by strong ...
Mar 27, 2018 – Commodity Weekly: Crude testing January highs – the last resistance - Crude oil testing January highs as well as the revival of gold rally after the FOMC were supporting commodities last week. As energy sector and precious metals pulled the market to the upside, the agricultural contracts and industrial metals were ...
Feb 13, 2018 – Commodity Weekly: Suffering commodity space offered nice trade opportunities - A great week for traders is behind, the volatility finally arrived to the commodity markets and more sectors had nice moves during this period. The biggest movers were in the Energy sector were oil and distillates joined the falling natural ...
Feb 9, 2018 – Market Update -   European equities seem to be in a quite and cautious mood today after yesterday's red day. US futures are up a what gives additional comfort to the market is also the calm in FX. Bonds are getting slightly sold ...
Feb 6, 2018 – Commodity Weekly: After the support of weak dollar diminished, commodities joined the selloff - After a supportive week of depreciating dollar commodities are getting hit by sell off in equities and overall negative sentiment in risk assets. While the dollar should have been helping commodities rise, it wasn’t entirely the case even last week ...
Feb 2, 2018 – Market Update (NFPs day but a high bar for USD to rise, Trys rising but where is the USD?, Rising yields challenging stocks (dividend/higher financing), Strong EUR to weight on EU stocks soon, Italy in or out?, eBay dumping PayPal and going for Adyen, Insurers to sell cryptos theft protection) -   Short recap   Asia lower Europe opening mixed Strong EUR to weigh on EU stocks soon 10-yr Trys yield above 2.75% putting pressure on stocks As dividend yield is not as attractive as before and cost of financing for ...
Jan 18, 2018 – Market Update (Apple with USD 38 bln tax bill, bringing home USD 250 bln; Renault-Nissan a king over Volkswagen; Goldman Sachs dropping bond trading?; GE still on short side; Junk bonds spreads at record lows, China/Japan getting rid of Trys – nothing new; USDRUB floor between 55.70-56.00; Brent having hard time to stay above USD 70 mark; Biggest Bitcoin mines in China) -   Short recap Asia hitting record levels Europe opening higher on bullish sentiment from US and Asia China growing too fast with respect to economic and pollution standards Trump fighting back China with intellectual property breaches (likely getting ready for Davos) Loud ...
Jan 15, 2018 – Commodity Weekly: Oil bulls pushing prices higher, corn and sugar falling - Last week continued the spectacular oil rally as inventories are dropping and Trump threatened to abandon Iran nuclear deal. The grains had hard time after bearish WASDE report although soybeans seem to get some extra boost, both corn and wheat ...
Jan 15, 2018 – Market Update (USD hit by non-US monetary tightening, No Bitcoin ETFs/mutual funds (for now), Bulls at extreme levels, SoftBank to list mobile biz, EUR longs up again, EURUSD to consolidate today, Gold to attack 2017 high at 1357, facing 1357-1375 range resistance) -   Short recap Asia in green Europe opening higher Trumps racist comments are dangerous in general And can also change the behaviour of the public Thus hurting the consumption habits, investments and economy FR and GE looking at EZ investment budget/reforms USD hit by ...
Jan 11, 2018 – Market Update (Cryptos getting hit in SoKo, Chinese like Trys anyway, 10-yr Trys yields holds above 2.50% despite China/BoJ, USDJPY looking towards 110.00 ?, VIX above 10 but still very low, Bayer hoarding cash by selling more Covestro, Aramco seeking cheap loans ahead of IPO, PIMCO to buy more Trys on recent weakness, SNB with profit of USD 55 bln) - Short recap Asian in red as stocks getting nervous, VIX above 10 Europe opening lower Cryptos – SoKo preparing a trading ban, tax authorities cracking on some exchanges China – halt of Trys buying based on wrong info (I like it as some made a nice ...
Jan 8, 2018 – Weekly Commodity – Commodity Index rebalancing may bring corrections this week - The second week of the year is usually about Commodity Index rebalancing. During this process Commodity Index funds adjust their portfolios to those indices they follow. This often results in buying the worse performing commodities and selling the high performers. ...
Jan 1, 2018 – Weekly Commodity – Strong year for metals, good for crude and a disaster for agriculture - 2017 was very good year for the metals, especially industrial metals were in favour of investors after the EV euphoria spread all over the market place. Crude had also a good year, lathough the main rally came on the second half ...
Dec 12, 2017 – Weekly Commodity: Year end sell-off while US producers getting in focus - The last week was pretty bad for commodities in general as we experienced sell off all over the commodity market place. The most where sold out metals and softs, but energy sector was also hit. Main drivers were strengthening dollar, ...
Dec 5, 2017 – Market Update (Brexit and US tax bill market movers, EU to review US tax bill and its implications, S&P 500 & DAX – what’s next?, Apple to start to paying back taxes to Ireland in Q1 2018 (EUR 13 bln), Toll Brothers facing lack of skilled labour – an issue for home builders across US) -   Short recap Asia took a break Europe opening flat to slightly up US tax bill refining continues as the bill moves from Senate to the House before it lands on Trump’s table Many have changed the wording from tax reform ...
Dec 5, 2017 – Weekly Commodity: OPEC delivered extension now focus turning to US production & inventories - Commodities had a bad week caused primarily by correction in metals which couldn't be compensated by slight bounce in Energy and Agriculture. The OPEC delivered extension of the production cut as the market expected, however as this was already priced ...
Nov 29, 2017 – Market Update (OPEC day but will Russia, Iraq, Libya, Nigeria join? Preliminary Brexit bill EUR 50 bln, Gold attacking 1300 but…, EU to freeze funding for tax heavens, to prepare new black/grey lists, Softbank looking to buy Uber shares at 30% discount, Bitcoin a threat to global economy?) -   Short recap Asia in green Europe opening higher OPEC day today with not only oil but energy stocks in focus NoKo threating with new missile test again But no reaction from the markets (a sign that conflict escalation is low for ...
Nov 28, 2017 – Weekly Commodity: Oil bulls supported by Canadian supply disruption, Thursday OPEC meeting in focus - The last week was rather quiet due to Thanksgiving but we had some interesting moves in the commodity space due to unexpected events. First of all the tired oil bulls got some support from the Canadian supply disruption while the ...
Nov 21, 2017 – Weekly Commodity: Crude trader’s focus back on fundamentals, oversupply - After a week of increased uncertainty following the anticorruption crackdown in Saudi Arabia, the focus is re-shifting toward fundamentals again. A Tuesday sell-off was triggered by the IEA monthly report where the agency reduced its’ global demand forecast by around ...
Nov 20, 2017 – Market Update (No Jamaica in Germany, Leadership in EU on pause, Risk taking at record levels, Mugabe still in but already out, Norwegians not counting on oil/gas, EURUSD to keep hawkish tone above 1.1675-1700 zone, Gold to test medium-term resistance at 1306) -   Short recap Asia in red Europe opening lower No Jamaica coalition in Germany – Merkel can still form a minority government No history of minority government or new election creating more uncertainty Merkel to meet president, German leadership in EU on pause What ...
Nov 15, 2017 – Story of the Week: Comparing old and new economy…General Electric and Tesla -   As there are lots of questions about what’s next in equity space let’s compare stocks from old and new economy – GE and Tesla:   General Electric – a time to buy after almost 50% decline from 2016 peak and recent ...
Nov 14, 2017 – Weekly Commodity : Did the Crude bulls run too far? - After the spectacular rally since September crude bulls are taking a brake recently. The main reasons of the rally were partially old news about the extension of OPEC and Non-OPEC production cut beyond March 2018. The geopolitical tension on the ...
Nov 8, 2017 – Market Update (EURUSD – H&S almost done, US yields not supporting further USD strength – a correction coming?, Oil – China demand lower on pollution cuts, Gold stuck in 1263-1282 range, ECB Governing Council meeting – watch the comments as more hawks on the Board, Apple – EU asked for more details about tax structure, Bitcoin an asset class?) -     Short recap   Asia up Europe opening lower Trump in China to ask for China cutting financial ties with NoKo US-Chinese companies signed USD 9 bln deals USD impacted by headwinds/slowdown related to tax reform (implementation in 2019) As the ...
Nov 2, 2017 – Market Update (FOMC a non event, Powell in and Tax bill out, BoE hiking after 10 years & taking a long break after…, EURUSD a shadow of USDCNH, IMF not ok with selling volatility products, Apple a big thing after market, Barclays fed up with Brexit and taking actions, Deutsche Bank seeking a second building in Frankfurt) -   Short recap   Asia printing new 10-yr high as on optimism from Fed Europe opening lower FOMC – no changes, non event Just reconfirmed all with economic activity to solid from moderate Dec hike a done deal IMF warns volatility ...
Oct 27, 2017 – Short recap after ECB (Trys yields up, Bund yields down, Draghi played dovish, EURUSD getting closer to important 1.1500, Are we going back to 1.0500/1.1500 range?, 1w RR favouring puts, USDJPY – spot lagging the move higher as the US yields steadily rise, Spot close to critical 115.00, 1w RR favouring further upside) -   Short recap after ECB...   Bonds   10-yr Trys yield at 2.46% up from 2.43% yesterday 10-yr Bund yield at 0.42% down from 0.48% yesterday   EURUSD   Draghi played it well as the whole picture looks more dovish than rising rates environment ...
Oct 26, 2017 – Market Update (ECB day today but should they do anything?, Turkish CB in the spotlight too, EURUSD range 1.1660-1.1860/1.1900+, Airbus-Bombardier deal a China story?, Brazil yields up on elections risk, VIX to loo for too long – recall the Aug 2015 China blow…) -   Short recap   Asia flat Europe opening flat China going for USD denominated bonds again (first issue from 2004) ECB day today - lots of uncertainties around QE cut back (low inflation, strong EUR vs growing economy) Still not clear whether ...
Oct 20, 2017 – Market Update (US Senate moving on budget, US jobless claims hitting multidecade low – positive on spending/GDP/inflation/USD, Catalonian bank run, S&P 500 tested the support around 2544/40, Earnings to set the tone for today’s trading, Schlumberger results important for correction in energy stocks) -   Short recap   Asia up after some hesitation at the beginning Europe opening higher US Senate moving on 2018 budget, next step towards tax reform US jobless claims hitting multidecade low what means more people working, more money for spending As consumption ...
Oct 12, 2017 – Market Update (FOMC Minutes – debated inflation, JPMorgan & Citigroup reporting, Goldman Sachs back to investment banking?, EURUSD above 1.1830, heading to 1.2000 but…, CZK on the horse, Gold – which way now?, Homework time for Catalonia until Monday) -   Short recap   Asia up reaching 10 yr high Europe opening flat to lower Spain gave until Monday Catalonia to drop independence Otherwise will take over all powers over the autonomy region Oil inventories rising even though OPEC is cutting production FOMC Minutes – inflation ...
Oct 9, 2017 – Market Update (Quiet trading today unless…, Honeywell spinning off, Deutsche Borse working hard on moving euro clearing out of UK, JPM/Citi expecting lower trading revenues, BofA to benefit from cost cutting and expanding in retail, USDJPY – Peaking and may loose momentum as per daily chart/MACD) -   Short recap   China in green after one week off Europe in red US/CA/JP markets closed on account of Columbus day/Thanksgiving/Health-Sports day US banks/Trys closed but stocks open NFPs good on earnings, the rest is a question of interpretation (hurricanes, steady ...
Oct 6, 2017 – Market Update (Biz moving out making Catalonian politicians to think twice as Quebec is a nice example, NFPs & DXY – Good number Ok, bad number…because of hurricanes…as simple as that, EURUSD watching 1.1662 & 1.1615/05, USDJPY ready to test 113.25 & 113.37, Republicans moving on taxes, Fed warning of inflation/debt) -   Short recap   Asia up, inspired by US stocks printing new highs on tax reform hopes EU opening higher Republicans moving on taxes, Fed warning of inflation and unsustainable debt IMF still supports accommodative policy from ECB, BoJ Italian CB asking ECB to soften bad-loan ...
Oct 4, 2017 – Market Update (IBEX under pressure, China conspiracy theory, some US companies may revise down, Monsanto facing issues with new soybeans Xtend, Buffett likes Pilot Flying, New Fed Chair speculations riding USD and Trys yields, EURUSD – a new H&S formation?, Gold found strong support at 1268) -   Short recap   Japan/Hong Kong up, China/SoKo closed Europe opening mixed UK heading towards hard Brexit on settlement bill dispute Likely to be much larger than UK politicians think But 2-yr transition period helps to remove pressure from GBP Higher USD ...
Oct 2, 2017 – Market Update (Catalan 90% vote, Johnson-May old friends, DAX attacking 12 954 on weaker EUR, 10-yr Trys yield bullish close, Global equity funds enjoying the money in rally) -   Short recap   Asian up Europe opening higher Catalonian 90% vote for independence Madrid and police not comfortable with it Declaration of independence likely to come in 48 hours   Boris Johnson sees Theresa May gone within the year (friends…) Boeing-Bombardier dispute a proof of UK-US ...
Oct 2, 2017 – Weekly Commodity – Opportunities ahead in Crude, Corn and Sugar as well - Commodity markets are currently in a difficult situation as combination of fundamentals and stronger dollar both added pressure. However the technical picture reveals medium term opportunities in all three commodities we follow. The crude oil had a nice rally behind ...
Sep 25, 2017 – Market Update (Merkel heading to Jamaica style coalition, EUR to decline in no reforms, US corp tax rate to 20%, Moody’s downgraded UK and markets nothing…, Volatility extremely low despite hawkish Fed, SAP buying Gigya, JPMorgan picking Warsaw, Brent supported by HFs and rising spread to WTI) -   Short recap   Asia lower on China Europe opening lower   Merkel winner but political scene more fragmented Both Merkel’s party and Socialists short of historical results Nationalist party with 13%, signal of complications Merkel-Macron need deal for Europe and ...
Sep 22, 2017 – Market Update (China downgrade on still fast credit growth, NoKo a new H-bomb test while Kim is in NY, Stronger EUR weighting on DAX, Apple under pressure – a new target at 142?, May’s perfect time of Brexit speech at 1900 GMT, Germany voting on Sunday, Gold at 1295 – which way?) -   Short recap   Asia in red on NoKo and S&P downgrade of China (outlook stable) and Hong Kong (outlook negative). S&P not comfortable with Chinese still strong credit growth Europe opening lower Speculation that NoKo will test powerful hydrogen bomb in Pacific PBOC asked Chinese banks to stop cooperating with NoKo ...
Sep 21, 2017 – Market Update (FOMC – market not a strong believer of Fed talk, EURUSD sitting at strong support 1.1870/80, Gold at crossroad between 1290-1300, UniCredit to buy Commerzbank, Apple slowing, Huawei, Oppo, Samsung speeding up, EU to redo taxation of digital world) -   Short recap   Asia in red Europe opening higher EU-CA free trade deal in effect starting today EU to redo taxes on digital companies Goldman Sachs expect USD 1 trln tax cuts (0.4% of GDP) over 10 yrs   FOMC – no change, ...
Sep 15, 2017 – Market Update (US inflation surprise making Dec Fed hike a 50/50 game, Weidmann like Draghi…eyeing his job?, Oil above USD 50 a stability for US shale, GBPUSD up to 1.3500, but weak USD can push it to 1.4000 despite heavy short specs, Trump trade making US small caps rally) -   Short recap   Asian in red on NoKo playing with fire again but market corrected quickly Europe opening mixed ECB’s Weidmann out with comments like Draghi…getting ready for his job? Aug US inflation at 1.9%, core 1.7%, higher than expected Bringing Dec Fed ...
Sep 14, 2017 – Market Update (Trump maturing, ECB not in a rush to hike, DAX at crucial 12 500, Back to Trump trade?, EURUSD at support zone 1.1 870/80, Amazon.com to sell sombreros, Munich Re hit by hurricanes, Oracle in the cloud) -   Short recap   Asian down on weaker Chinese data Europe opening mixed Trump getting more experienced (less tweeting) And starting meeting people (like Rep/Dem leaders) to move things forward ECB to keep a steady hand on easy policy as inflation stays ...
Sept 12, 2017 – Market Update (Risk off on NoKo, Irma, higher bond yields, change in CNY policy, Cryptos banned but PBOC supporting blockchain, Regulation to come, Samsung cheering over Note 8, Apple’s new iPhone 8 with USD 1000 price tag?, Gold prone to correct to 1300 if no risks off, Japanese stocks ok as long as USDJPY above 108.00) -   Short recap   Asia printing 10-yr highs Europe opening higher Jump in bond yields supporting risk on China likely to change policy in order to avoid quick appreciation of CNY New milder sanctions against NoKo approved by UN No NoKo reaction yet, markets ...
Sep 8, 2017 – Market Update (North Korea/Irma – unhedged over the weekend?, Dovish Draghi but no indications, 10-yr Trys yield dipping below may bring more declines, EURUSD – 1.2000 a fair value, 1.2100 to hurt sentiment and DAX, Platina to catch up Gold rally, WTI at USD 55 unsustainable, BMW taking e-cars seriously, Amazon in a need of 2nd US HQ) -   Short recap   Asia in red Europe opening lower ECB kept its policy unchanged Draghi stayed dovish, has not offered any clear indication on what’s next Despite strong EUR pushing inflation lower and economy doing well Ifo head warning of next EZ crisis Market keeps testing upside ...
Sep 5, 2017 – Market Update (Very quiet in the markets…, North Korea making a storm?, Cryptos hit with Bitcoin & Ethereum down, JPY not what it used to be against Gold, EURUSD ready to correct if Draghi impresses, United Technologies buying Rockwell Collins, Air Berlin keeps flying for now) -   Short recap   Asia in red Europe opening flat to slightly higher Very quiet in the markets… North Korea still an issue, preparing another launch before weekend (Sep 9 a holiday in NoKo) as it moves ICBM to the launch ...
Aug 14, 2017 – Weekly Commodity: Risk off sentiment and bearish reports hit commodities - It was a week of swings in the commodity markets with several reports and events driving the market sentiment. The Bloomberg commodity index first jumped 1.4% and then dropped to close the week with only half percent gain. While precious ...
Aug 8, 2017 – Weekly Commodity: Oil hesitating at key resitance, Corn weaker but…, Sugar sold heavily at recent highs - Commodity markets had a mixed week as traders and investors were positioning themselves ahead of important data/events this week. The market represented by the Boomberg commodity index had a good start into the week but prices dropped closer to the ...
Aug 4, 2017 – Market Update (NFPs 183k/Earnings 0.3% expected, US yields reaction to NFPs crucial for USD, USDJPY, Gold, EURUSD above 1.1876 but below 1.1900, Siemens to build wind power plant in Turkey, Goldman Sachs buying USD 10 bln of Aramco’s credit facility, Tesla – market betting heavily on Model 3 success, Trump productivity stats) -   Short recap   Asian slightly higher Europe opening lower Russian case moving with subpoenas issued for Trump’s son and his son-in-law A new India-China stand off in Himalaya? Toronto home sales down 40% y/y, 4th month of decline Average purchase price is CAD 746k vs CAD ...
Aug 2, 2017 – Market Update (DXY close to strong support area 92.64, 200 WMA & 91.88, BoJ keeping powerful QE, Iron ore down 1.8%, Plenty of USD liquidity supporting risk assets, Drop in US car sales to hurt, One Apple a day…, Tesla on stage today, Banks not happy with low volatility, Venezuela bonds struggling) -   Short recap   Asia in green as techs were inspired by Apple’s earnings Europe opening higher1 BoJ on a halfway to 2% inflation, must keep powerful QE in place Structural reforms needed to boost inflation Trump to address some China trade ...
August 2, 2017 – Weekly Commodity: Good week for commodities but bulls seem to run a little too fast - Last week was overall very good for commodities supported with both weak dollar and fundamentals as the Bloomberg commodity index rose1.8%. However there are emerging speculations that the bull had run a littlebit too fast and some correction could be ...
Aug 1, 2017 – Market Update (Can Trump hit rock bottom? Weidmann – EZ needs a reform, Chinese Anbang Insurance Group to sell overseas assets & bring cash home, Europe experiencing the strongest earnings season since 2017, EURUSD above 1.1785 (200 WMA)) -   Short recap   Asia slightly up Europe opening higher Can Trump hit rock bottom?       Trump looking at executive action on healthcare North Korea can hit most of US ECB’s Weidmann – EZ needs a reform Oil popped over USD 50 on high fuel demand and ...
July 31, 2017 – Market Update (JPY of interest as safe heaven after CHF moving, MSCI not happy with Chinese suspended companies, Trys yield lower on softer GDP, Volkswagen not in a rush to sell Ducati, JP fund managers keep trimming equity exposure) -   Short recap   Asia in green Europe opening higher Trump & Abe talked North Korea JP fund managers kept decreasing equity holdings in July, especially North American assets JP-US may discuss trade and currency as a one package JPY may be ...
July 28, 2017 – Market Update (Bad day for Trump – no Russia sanctions, no VAT, no BAT, no Obamacare repeal, EURUSD hitting strong multiyear resistance zone, USDJPY played by expiring options today, US GDP to surprise, NASDAQ down on rotation out of Techs, Apollo rising USD 25 bln) -   Short recap   Asia lower on risk off Europe opening Mnuchin to support steps not tough talk against FX manipulators As it hasn’t been working for years Senate rejected new sanctions against Russia Not even watered down Obamacare repeal bill can pass through Senate ...
July 27, 2017 – Market Update (FOMC on summer vacation, playing safe, DXY close to support levels, EURUSD close to 200 WMA (1.1794), Gold/gold miners going higher? Heavy Deutsche Bank, Facebook enjoying the ride, Cameco – weak uranium price making heavy print) -   Short recap   Asia up on dovish feeling Fed (stocks, bonds and commodities up) Europe opening flat ECB’s Nowotny – some room to reduce asset purchase from Jan 2018 but not stopping them EU warned US over new sanctions against Russia as ...
July 24, 2017 – Weekly Tech Overview: EURUSD and gold have broken important weekly lvls, USDJPY ahead 110 - Traders seems to have abandoned dollar but the outcome for the next few weeks is far from clear. Strong last week close in EURUSD confirmed break toward 1.23-2500, but.... Gold has also reached some important weekly milestone by closing above ...
July 24, 2017 – Weekly Commodity : Opec meeting and Crop Progress report today will be crucial - The holiday mood (and liquidity) was felt all over the commodity markets. Traders are chasing news and this is bringing volatility which is however quickly fading and volumes are declining. The Bloomberg Commodity index increased 0.3% the last week with ...
July 19, 2017 – Market Update (Republicans (not only Trump) need to deliver, EURUSD capped by 1.1615 before ECB, BoJ-ECB divergence to deepen after tomorrow?, USDJPY – all above the yields, US corporate cash at USD 1.84 trln, Goldman Sachs to fix 40% dive in bond trading revenue, Lockheed Martin likes F-35 order log) - Short recap   Asia up Europe opening lower Republicans (not only Trump) need to deliver Tax reform is next (something Trump is more familiar with) Moody’s – US corporate cash at USD 1.84 trln, Tech is the leader   Equities   ...
July 18, 2017 – Market Update (Trump not able to deliver anything, EURUSD above 1.1500 but below 1.1600 ahead of ECB, 10-yr Trys yield positioning ahead of FOMC, Gold shorts to get squeezed?, UniCredit selling EUR 18 bln of bad loans, ETFs outflow to trigger next downturn, Citi in Frankfurt) -   Short recap   Asia in red Europe opening lower After 2nd Obamacare repeal vote failure Doubts about ability of Trump administration to deliver anything on the rise Markets getting more comfortable with Fed slowing its hiking pace and all USD negative Trump news Since US elections S&P ...
July 17, 2017 – Weekly Commodity: Commodities boosted by fundamentals and falling dollar - The commodities tracked by Bloomberg Commodity index (BCOM:IND) rallied 1.1% on mixed to worsening fundamentals and weaker dollar. Speculators cut a significant part of their short positions up to Tuesday but commodity prices surged especially the last day of the ...
July 12, 2017 – Market Update (All about Yellen today, Merkel flying EUR high, Siemens chasing their turbines, Chinese banks another opportunity, Trump and Russia again (but Junior this time), 10-yr Bund yields jumping above 0.60% mark) -   Short recap   Europe opening higher Trump Jr – Russia blow here but markets focus on Yellen Trump administration constantly distracted, not focussing on proper work Gary Cohn Trump’s candidate to replace Yellen Fed’s Mester likes taper sooner rather than later Merkel putting pressure on ECB to raise rates JPM’s ...
July 9, 2017 – Weekly Commodity: Oil and precious metals dropped while crops rallied - Despite the rally in grains the Bloomberg Commodity Index dropped 1.5% last week as oil and precious metals fell. The weakening of the dollar couldn’t give sufficient support to the commodity bulls as fundamentals were lagging. Oil As Nigeria and ...
July 7, 2017 – Market Update (Good NFPs may trigger collapse in bonds/stocks, EZ stocks under pressure from higher yields/EUR, BoJ buying and buying, ECB not respecting allocation key, thus pushing core yields/EUR higher, EUR – make it through 1.1500 or ? Berkhsire to buy Oncor, Celgene/BeiGene to cooperate) -   Short recap   Asia in red Europe opening lower Flash crash in Silver Trump to meet with Putin Very good US NFPs numbers may trigger collapse in bonds and stocks As the risk of rising rates further will all implications will be ...
July 6, 2017 – Market Update (Trump in Poland, EUR – lower global use on high hedging cost, EURUSD – focus on Minutes & 1.1300 with lots of expiring options, USDZAR – central bank to be nationalized, Gold supported by geopolitical risks, ExxonMobil, Shell, Total courting Qatar gas, Volvo – green from 2019, Nokia sharing patents with Xiaomi) -   Short recap   Asia mostly in red Europe opening higher Trump in Poland to reassure about commitment to Eastern Europe through gas and military support Before meeting with Putin Also to outline the future relationship with Europe as such FOMC ...
July 3, 2017 – Market Update (Trump, Xi, Abe, China-Hong Kong bond connect on, Banco Popular clean up, Buffett banking at BofA, FX markets to become very sensitive to data beats/misses, Trump to fight the steel and bank regulation at G20) -   Short recap   Asia in green Europe opening higher Overall markets are still digesting last week’s movements Low liquidity due to July 4 US Independence day holiday   Japanese PM Abe hit by the significant loss in Tokyo elections, likely to face more troubles in ...
June 30, 2017 – Market Update (Markets getting ahead of themselves, US Q1 GDP revised up, S&P – Fed to start taper in Sep, Bunds-Trys spread at 183 bps, at Raiffeisen Bank having difficulties with IPO, Small techs smashed on low liquidity) -   Short recap   Asian down on risk off flows from EU/US Europe opening mixed This week we witness lots of end of month, quarter and half a year flows/positions squaring Market is ahead of itself based on reactions, valuations, ...
June 28, 2017 – Market Update (Draghi’s reflation & Yellen’s “no new financial crisis in our lifetime” words, Cyber attacks – a new era to come? Bonds, equities down – a new risk off combination? JPY a perfect summer carry trade) -   Short recap   Asia down inspired by US session after another delay of healthcare bill vote Europe opening lower World coping with another cyber attack – a new era to come? Draghi replaced deflationary forces by reflationary ones and ...
June 27, 2017 – Market Update (US 30-yr Trys yield flatening further, EURUSD stuck within 1.11-1.1300, Gold flash crashed, long specs reduced while keeping the bullish bias on political uncertainity, Mkango to lauch rare-earth production in Malawi, Alibaba’s Best to do delivery services, Alphabet + Avis, Apple + Herzt) -   Short recap   Asia up on expectations of Yellen confirming later today one more hike this year Europe opening lower Trump’s small victory (finally something) as Supreme Court made some parts of travel ban applicable Trump-Modi (India) meeting was ...
June 26, 2017 – Market Update (Low yields to pressure US banks, Italian tax payers taking EUR 17 bln bill, FX options – implied vols making lows, VIX at 10, Fed to keep hiking, EUR longs trimmed) -   Short recap   Asia up Europe opening higher Trump ok to cooperate with Senate on healthcare bill Mester/Williams to keep hiking Goldman Sachs sees 25% probability of a recession in US over the next 2 years BIS was out ...
June 23, 2017 – Market Update (Tough on Qatar, Soros: UK & EU may remarry, Morgan Stanley moving to Frankfurt/Dublin, Biotech on fire, FX options ruling EURUSD, USDJPY, Bonds on summer vacation) -   Short recap   Asia flat Europe opening lower Tough conditions for Qatar to comply within 10 days Will spur the risk off Carlyle Group – Fed to keep hiking, no problem from higher rates Soros on "Brexit In Reverse" ...
June 22, 2017 – Market Update (Harley Davidson buying Ducati, PIMCO on Chinese bonds, Frankurt to top London, Brexit laws blocked by Scots and Lords?, New US healhcare bill coming) - Short recap   Asia higher as oil found some ground Europe mixed German FinMin out with Frankfurt a good alternative to London As ECB and banking oversight is there Luring European Banking Authority there as well Likely to cut taxes ...
June 21, 2017 – Market Update (China A-shares in MSCI, Oil dropping, Energy stocks on negative but getting closer to attractive, EUR down on risk off this time, Geopolitical risks ongoing, Queen’s speech) -   Short recap   Asia – risk off with miners, energy and banks in red China shares slightly higher as MSCI decision was largely priced in Europe opening lower Oil dropping like a stone on rising Libya and US rig ...
June 20, 2017 – Market Update (USD getting technical support, extreme bearish sentiment turning, US yields rising, US House to finish tax reform in 2017, US stocks getting back to Trump trade on better financial liquidity) -   Short recap   Asia green Europe opening higher US House looking to complete the tax reform in 2017 as the pressure is mounting Brexit – EU stance is clear, the exit settlement, final bill and rights of EU citizens ...
June 20, 2017 – Weekly Commodity (crude below $45, dry weather supports crops, sugar down again) - Commodities didn’t have a good week. The Bloomberg Commodity index dropped to one year lows and Monday the negative momentum doesn’t seem to fade. The best performers were the grains and the worst performers were the soft commodities, but there were ...
June 19, 2017 – Market Update (Macron win a huge potential for France, Fed speakers, US groceries shaking up, extreme long specs in EUR – a fall to come?) -   Short recap   Asia up Europe opening higher China-Iran to conduct join naval practice in the Gulf Iran firing over Syria Trump doesn’t like Cuban salsa Macron doesn’t need a coalition partner for important economic reforms France has a ...
June 16, 2017 – Market Update (BoJ no change, Greece getting money, Fed OK) -   Short recap   Asia flat Europe opening higher BoJ no change, upgrading consumption, domestic and global growth To keep support as inflation is far from 2% Greece getting EUR 8.5 bln loan What about central banks raising the inflation ...
June 15, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia lower Europe opening lower FOMC – more hawkish than expected Inflation expectations adjusted but Yellen sees a good ground for prices to keep rising Likely start to taper in Sep, another rate hike in Dec ...
June 14, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia mixed The Russian dust around Trump is settling down And we go back to work to crunch through hard data and policy execution Softer Brexit talk and EU is opening the door for UK to ...
June 13, 2017 – (Trade Idea) Short GBPUSD – medium/long term, targeting new low - Hi,   ight after UK CPI I mentioned on Twitter I took a small, short position ( risking 0,15% ).   What is my thinking ( come on great UK CPI number, why the heck you are short ? ): ...
June 13, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia up Europe opening higher EU not happy with lack of clarity on UK side Working on moving trading and clearing of EUR denominated assets out of UK Basics of financial reform in US unveiled   ...
June 12, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia lower taking clues from Nasdaq and its heavy weights Europe opening lower FR parliamentary elections – Macron’s party winning a huge majority in Lower House What will make the reform package likely to happen Traditional ...
June 11, 2017 – Weekly Commodity : Oil resistant to turmoil around Qatar, Corn on rollercoaster bull and Sugar in consolidation - According to the Bloomberg Commodity Index, commodities bounced back on Friday from lows seen in May after rollercoaster week. The biggest winners are corn and cocoa, were traders focused on weather concerns. Also copper had a good week on technical ...
June 9, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia mixed Europe opening higher but correcting Risk on or Risk off now?   ECB sees higher grow, lower inflation (2017-19), risks balanced No further rate cuts but also no change in policy, no taper talk ...
June 9, 2017 – UK elections/Brexit – few words… -   David Cameron, Boris Johnson, Nigel Farage, Theresa May…all of them screwed up big time Who is going to clean up the mess after them?   Article 50 triggered, UK leaving EU by Mar 31, 2019 May to speak at ...
Feb 9, 2017 – Data Alert : IEA Monthly oil report 10th February GMT 09:30 - This is a long awaited week for the oil traders as the Monthly Oil Report from IEA will be released on Friday. The report will give us the first information about how compliant were the OPEC members in January with the production cut ...
June 8, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia mixed Europe opening higher Oil was heavily hit by strong rise in US inventories and products amid OPEC efforts to cut production/supply According to Comey’s prepared statement Trump asked him to drop an investigation of ...
June 7, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia higher but risk off mood prevails while safe heavens in demand ahead of ECB, UK and Comey Asia stocks up 2%, more than the rest of the region on consumers, value search and speculation about ...
June 7, 2017 – Trade idea – Long corn on possible short liquidation - It seems that hedge funds are loosing nerves and started to close their shorts. This would come at one point in the July contract anyway as they would need to roll over positions before the notice date  30th June. The ...
June 6, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia in red on risk off as plenty of things going on this week Europe opening lower US election scandal going more public with DoJ accusing contractor about leaking top-secret documents PIMCO neutral on Italy after ...
June 5, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia mixed Europe opening higher Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Bahrain cutting diplomatic ties with Qatar over support of Iran (Islamic Brotherhood and Hamas) Pushing oil more than 1% higher All of that coming after Trump’s visit ...
June 5, 2017 – (Weekly Tech Overview) USDJPY (updated), AUDUSD – RBA next, USDCAD buy dips - Hi all, Three charts below and we do think they might be very interested from both - bullish and bearish - perspective: USDJPY Weekly chart (updated ): are bears in control ? close below 110 would help a lot. What ...
June 5, 2017 – Weekly Commodity: Oil and Sugar under pressure, Grains in a vacuum - Crude oil had a hangover week after OPEC meeting,  and some additional dose of pessimism supported bearsto push prices lower below 48 dollars. Grains were looking for direction from USDA Crop Progress report but there was no uggly suprise. Sugar had a ...
June 2, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia up on risk on, Nikkei 225 attacking 2015 highs Europe opening in green Risk on can continue but need good NFPs   The last nail to the US international supremacy (seen as the Fall of ...
May 31, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia up on better steel industry performance that pushed China factory activity higher Europe opening mixed Trump's head of communication is leaving – who knows why? Wouldn’t be better if Trump has left and all the ...
May 30, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asian stocks with cautious on Greece and Italy China, Hong Kong closed on account of public holiday Europe opening lower Greece readying for not paying EUR 7 bln installment if bail out agreement/haircut not reached Some ...
May 29, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia up Europe opening higher but correcting US & UK closed today on account of public holidays, some Asian countries as well Korea playing with fire again ZAR – Zuma still alive Europe on its won ...
May 28, 2017 – Weekly Commodity – tough week for commodities, crude, industrial metals, soybeans down, corn and wheat traders still hesitant - Last week the Bloomberg Commodity index fell 0.8%. One of the reason was that traders were disappointed not getting any juicy surprise from OPEC on Thursday. While precious metals gained, industrial metals fell on both supply and demand news and ...
May 26, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia down as OPEC disappointed the market by not delivering what traders hoped for Cut extended for 9 and not 12 months, expected deeper cuts Oil was down 5% and still heavy today Europe opening lower ...
May 25, 2017 – Story of the week: OPEC meeting – few thoughts and what to focus on today -   There is a lot in stake for OPEC during today’s meeting in Vienna - Austria, for all participants. Some of the OPEC members have more to lose than others but at the end everybody needs to keep oil prices ...
May 24, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia effected by China downgrade Europe opening lower Markets shifting focus from risk off set up to June FOMC meeting 1st Trump budget sent to Congress, being ignored as such? Moody’s downgraded China to A1 from ...
Mar 23, 2017 – Data alert : How is June Fed hike priced in? -   Just a brief update among all the Trump related Russian mess... Fed hike - currently June hike priced at 78% and next one at 43%. Meaning, the market is pricing 2 more hikes this yr at 43% probability.   ...
May 23, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Europe opening higher GBP volatile on Manchester bomb attack Merkel’s comments about weak EUR were more preparation ahead of today’s visit of Trump As well as preparation for Sep elections as Germans like strong EUR (DEM) ...
May 22, 2017 – (Weekly Tech Overview) USDJPY, Gold (XAUUSD) and GBPUSD - Hi all, Three charts below and we do think they might be very interested from both - bullish and bearish - perspective:   USDJPY Weekly chart: GOLD (XAUUSD) Weekly chart: GBPUSD Weekly chart: Join Us: FREE LIVE TRADING ROOM - click here ...
May 21, 2017 – Weekly Commodity – Oil traders waiting for Opec, rain challenging US crops , sugar rejected ethanol parity - Last week the US and Brazilian politics were making the main headlines. Continuous weakening of US dollar supported commodities while the depreciation of Real had a negative effect on sugar, coffee and soybeans. The weak Brazilian real caused a liquidation ...
May 19, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia mixed on strong US data but political turmoil Europe opening higher Risk off only one day China to normalize relations with South Korea Brazil – after last year’s impeachment the new president Temer in the ...
May 18, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Trump – Special Counsel headed by former FBI director Robert Mueller to investigate Trump-Russia connections Risk off overall, messy market reaction in Asia but creation of the Counsel may temper down the nerves USD - no ...
May 17, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia in red on Trump mess Europe opening lower Trump to face tough scrutiny from Congress on meeting with Lavrov and sharing sensitive info What would happen if Donald Trump were impeached?  link European Court of ...
May 15, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia up despite cyber attack and North Korea Europe opening higher despite more cyber attack threats Chinese Belt and Silk Road initiative uniting Asia, Africa and EU versus Trump’s America first ECB’s Weidman – Macron’s win ...
May 15, 2017 – Weekly Commodity (crude positions balanced, corn planting delay, sugar at ethanol parity) - Commodity markets were hesitant last week, looking for direction. After Macron’s win in French Elections the hot topic is gone and traders could again focus on the fundamentals of their markets. We had oil reports from API, EIA and IEA ...
May 12, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia slightly higher Europe opening mixed BoJ is passionate about 2% inflation in 2018 Trade barriers a dead end – comments from Fed’s Dudley Fed officially commenting on Trump policies US financial conditions keep easing, thus ...
May 11, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia up on stock markets gains led by rising energy sector Trump falling deeper into the election scandal orchestrated by Russians An impeachment coming at certain point...? Or at the best the tax and biz reforms ...
May 9, 2017 – (Chart of the Day) Gold – one month later – as expected ( XAUUSD ) - Hi, today short update to the gold analysis posted exactly one month ago here   In short, on 9th April 2017 I mentioned gold has hit potential supply zone based on weekly chart: and we are approaching possible demand on ...
May 9 , 2017 – Market Update - Short recap   Asia mixed Europe opening higher but correcting Kuroda sees 2% inflation in 2018 To keep the short term rate target at -0.1% And 10-yr Japan bond yield at 0% UK’s employers having hard times to recruit foreign ...
May 8, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia higher Europe opening in red FR elections – Macron winning over Le Pen (66/34) The margin of victory was important ahead of Legislative (Parliamentary) elections Macro some pro-business policies at EU level as well, closer ...
May 5, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia lower on commodities losing the ground on worries about the global growth Europe opening lower DAX printing new historical high Praet pushed EURUSD higher with ECB guidance shift to focus on data House approved new ...
May 3, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia mostly in green with some hesitation about Fed looking at June hike Europe opening lower Trump a bit “disruptive” in international field Open to government shutdown, pushing for faster voting on bills US pushing China ...
May 2, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia pushing higher on tech earnings Europe opening higher but correcting Goldman Sachs raising June rate hike to 70% from 60% In line with market expectations despite Friday’s US GDP miss Greece – EU and IMF ...
May 2, 2017 – Weekly Tech Overview (USDJPY, AUDUSD, GBPAUD and EURJPY) - Hi, we have a pretty busy week ahead with 2 rate decisions (RBA and FED) and second round of Fench Election on Sunday. The technical picture tells us a lot about the posibble positioning of the big guys. Lets take ...
Apr 30, 2017 – Weekly Commodity (crude oil indecision, rain hopes for grains and false break in sugar) - Commodities haven’t seen much action last week and the Bloomberg commodity index was moving sideways. There is mostly indecision in the market as investors and traders are cautious ahead of the second round of the French election due to lack ...
Apr 28, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia – saw some profit taking after risk on week Europe opening lower   ECB no change in monetary policy Draghi had a good showing, inflation not a worry, economy doing better (5-yr forward inflation swaps ...
Apr 27, 2017 – Market Update + ECB -   Short recap   Asia up Europe opening lower BoJ – no change, outlook for econ up, CPI down NAFTA to stay for now, I “admire” the respect of Trump for his partners Trump’s tax reform out, if in place ...
Apr 26, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia higher on positive expectations about US Europe openig lower Rumours – Trump dropped border tax ahead of tax reform release To be reviewed later eventually US getting ready military wise in South Korea While top ...
Apr 24, 2017 – (Chart of the Day) DAX – What next for bears ? - Hi,today German Index DAX as our Chart of the Day:    Join Us: FREE LIVE TRADING ROOM - click here   Most probably every bear around was dreaming about possible H&S formation ( blue on the chart below ) before market has ...
Apr 24, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Europe higher Markets need to digest the move and get ready for ECB and Trump policies (tax, Obamacare) FR elections 2nd round – Macron/Le Pen Prediction Macron winning over Le Pen 60/40 (seems to be sufficient ...
Apr 23, 2017 – Weekly Commodity (Commodities under pressure) - The commodities had a rough week as Bloomberg Commodity Index fell 2.5% percent in only one week. The already nervous markets were we had a serial of negative news in several commodity sectors caused that Money Managers cut some of ...
Apr 23, 2017 – French elections – Update 1600 GMT -   Pro-EU meetings across Europe supporting French voters Turnout (17:00 CET) at 69.42% slightly lower than in 2012 Projected participation 81% Tribune de Geneve – Macron slightly ahead of Le Pen (unofficial poll) Tokyo and Montreal witnessed 2 hour voting ...
Apr 23, 2017 – French elections Live blog -   French elections Live blog: http://tinyurl.com/l4rd3rx   Should you have any questions feel free to contact me anytime.   Good luck Champs!   Mr Hawk       DISCLAIMER: This material was created for informational purposes only and represents the ...
Apr 21, 2017 – French elections – Timeline and EURUSD levels -   I guess all of us are getting ready for Sunday/Monday night, so let’s have a look at certain times:   1800 GMT – First exit polls 1900 GMT – First projections based on votes counted 2000 GMT – Various ...
Apr 21, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia in green taking clues from US stocks Europe opening mixed Obamacare on the table again next Wed Mnuchin was out with some details on tax reform To be revealed soon (again…) and wants to push ...
Apr 20, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia started in red but turned to green as oil recovered a bit Europe opening higher ECB officials see stimulus measures as appropriate in the light of low inflation pressures Beige book – economy modest to ...
Apr 19, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia lower Europe opened mixed GBP up yesterday as markets speculate that snap elections can remove the political uncertainty And give a stronger mandate tp May in Brexit talks Pence – NK to expect an overwhelming ...
Apr 18, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia lower Europe opening higher, UK lower but heading lower now Markets getting ready for French elections this Sunday and developments around North Korea Need some risk events to go away to focus on fundamentals and ...
Apr 17, 2017 – (Video) Supply Demand, price action market makers method Live Trading Room - Hello,our latest LTR took place on 12th April, as usual during our live meetings we were looking for possible intraday setups on majors, enjoy:   Join Us and check how and what we are doing FREE LIVE TRADING ROOM - click here ...
Apr 17, 2017 – Weekly Commodity (Oil stock decline, bearish Wasde report but huge net short in corn and wheat, no sweat future for sugar) - The highlights of the last week are decline in oil invetnories and oil supply and demand getting closer to balance. In the Agricutural sector the long awaited WASDE report didnt surprice rather confirm expectations however concerns regarding heavy raining in ...
Apr 13, 2017 – Market Update + Few thougths on Trump -   Short recap   Asia lower EU opening lower   Trump proved me wrong about non-event end of week By the way, Trump not accusing China from currency manipulation anymore? Let’s call it a U-Turn… Well, it is officially true ...
Apr 12, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia on a safe side on geopolitical risks, JPY, gold and VIX up Europe opening higher Kuroda – BoJ easing for price stability and not to target FX levels Will keep going with easing to reach ...
Apr 11, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia cautious under geopolitical risks (Syria, N. Korea and upcoming FR elections on Apr 23) Europe opening lower China said No, thank you to coal from North Korea and fully loaded ships are heading back home ...
Apr 10, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia with some caution Europe opened higher but mixed now   Trump-Xi meeting – both declared friendship, trust and ready to work together…but no agreements No real consensus on North Korea, US trade deficit on the ...
Apr 9, 2017 – (Weekly Tech Overview) USDJPY, EURGBP (revisited) and Gold (XAUUSD) - Hi all, busy week again: from Yellen on Monday and US CPI on Friday ( USDJPY and XAUUSD weekly charts below ) plus Brexit vs French election ( EURGBP revistited, more details here ) ...   Join Us and check ...
Apr 7, 2017 – EURUSD & USDJPY daily levels: -   EURUSD daily levels: 3rd res 1.07305 2nd res 1.07070 1st res 1.06751 Pivot 1.06516 1st sup 1.06197 2nd sup 1.05962 3rd sup 1.05643   USDJPY daily levels: 3rd res 112.043 2nd res 111.587 1st res 111.193 Pivot 110.737 1st ...
Apr 7, 2017 – US NFPs -   US NFPs - official expectations: Headline 180k exp vs 235k prior Unemployment rate 4.7% exp vs 4.7% prior Average earnings +0.2% exp vs +0.2% prior   Few comments apart from official numbers above:   A bit mixed views as employment ...
Apr 7, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia lower, safe heaven flows to bonds as US strikes can rise the confrontation risk with Russia and Iran Russia calling for UN Security Council meeting, US informed RU about strikes in advance Don’t want to ...
Apr 6, 2017 – Live Market Coverage: (Forex) Potential supply/demand levels - Hi,Please find below possible demand and supply zones based on 30 min charts with short comments and bias. DON'T TRADE them blindly, additional analysis is needed ! Follow Us on Twitter for further updates.     Join Us and check ...
Apr 6, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia down on Fed planning to reduce its balance sheet while more doubts about Trump ability to deliver fiscal stimulus makes rounds in the markets Saw strength in JPY, VIX and USDJPY vols sharply higher, AUDJPY ...
Apr 5, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia higher but very safe on Trump-Xi meeting on Thursday While PMIs better China back after holiday helping markets Europe opening higher   BoJ reduced purchases of short term gov bonds (1-3 yr space) Brexit – ...
Apr 4, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia on a safe side Europe opening higher   Risk off ongoing (Russia, FR elections (GE-FR spread widens to 67 bps) – USDJPY declined and we see preference for liquidity EURUSD not picking up as peripheral ...
Apr 3, 2017 – (Chart of the Day) EURGBP Top Down analysis - Hi, EURGBP today as our Chart of the Day but we do have a different view vs others. Few banks came out already with an short idea ( for some of them that's Trade of the Week ) based on ...
Apr 3, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia slightly higher Europe opening higher   JPM and GS cut the US GDP outlook Fed talking about shrinking of balance sheet in H2 Inflation heading lower in EU but higher in US (PCE) Institutional investors ...
Mar 29, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia up Europe opening higher but with caution Trump revoking pro-climate regulations   …having fun of all those …exits….? Well, me too. Grexit, Italexit, Frexit, Germanexit, Brexit…and now: Scoxit – Scottish parliament said yes to second ...
Mar 28, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia up on signs of stabilization in US stocks and USD Europe opening higher   Chinese HNA Group in talks to acquire Forbes Credit Suisse to make decision on capital increase soon BoE asked UK banks ...
Mar 27, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Europe opening lower Brexit – May visiting Scotland to offer more powers Ahead of Scottish parliament vote on second independence referendum tomorrow Wake up call for Trump trade after Obamacare repeal vote being pulled off (for ...
Mar 24, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   EU markets opening flat to higher US stocks no clear direction but highest valuation in 15 years Institutional investors overweighed in stocks despite seeing high valuations Risk of crowded trade from short side on the horizon ...
Mar 23, 2017 – Is the Czech Central Bank ready to remove the EURCZK 27.000 floor? -   Well, as mentioned in our Market Update yesterday link, something must be baking no doubt... There many traders asking the question how to trade the move but unfortunately, there is a huge two-way risk related to unpegging of EURCZK. ...
Mar 23, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia slightly up EU opening higher despite risk off sentiment still present in the markets and not a very great start of Chinese earnings season (Tescent disappointed) US session showed hesitation with rebound in equities As ...
Mar 22, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Europe opening lower Asia down as markets doubt about the Trump’s ability to bring real pro-growth policies in life. In other words the after Trump victory reflation trade is loosing momentum. Nikkei testing the important psychological ...
Mar 21, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia printing highs EU markets opening higher   Macron the winner of French presidential debate but Hillary Clinton was too Weidmann (ECB) current policy is appropriate Evans (Fed) will make decision about next hike in June ...
Mar 20, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia mixed after last week EU markets opening lower   G20 take away:   Free trade short of support Mnuchin to correct imbalances – but the simple message to US is: “Consume less, Save more” End ...
Mar 19, 2017 – (Chart of the Day) US 10 year T-Notes – Top down analysis - Hi, today we will look at the 10 year T-Notes charts: weekly, daily and intraday. Latest  buying wave ( yields sell-off ) after hike ( some called it "dovish" hike ) did not hurt bears in my opinion, simply mkt ...
Mar 17, 2017 – (Video) Land Of Trading Forex Live Trading Room Edu Market Makers … -   Hi,This time we were covering ECB rate decision, main focus on EUR crosses, we were looking for some kind of market makers manipulation and... finaly some trades hit entry lvls.... next day on Friday after NFP 🙂     ...
Mar 17, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia cautious before G20 FinMin and central bankers meeting (Fri/Sat) EU opening lower Foreign investors to be able to by Chinese mainland bonds in HK (important change going forward) G20 – not high expectation, protectionism, free ...
Mar 16, 2017 – Trump to announce the budget… -   Trump to annonce the budget at 1100 GMT today (Thu)   Good luck Champs!   Mr Hawk       DISCLAIMER: This material was created for informational purposes only and represents the Land of Trading team’s view of the ...
Mar 16, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia took the inspiration from Wall Street on dovish sounded Fed EU opening higher on significant repricing of equities after Dutch elections and Fed The Dutch stayed smart and said no to nationalism, thus sending the ...
Mar 15, 2017 – Trump to announce a tax reform… -   ...rumors based on leaked info: Trump to announce a tax reform at 1300 GMT today   Good luck Champs!   Mr Hawk       DISCLAIMER: This material was created for informational purposes only and represents the Land of ...
Mar 15, 2017 – FOMC hiking…and EURUSD towards 0.9500 ? - ...a long awaited "D" day is here again:   EURUSD – crucial for bulls to stay above 1.0505/15 level Still within the wider range 1.0500/1.0850 Tomorrow’s trading (after FOMC) to show further direction But wouldn’t be surprised if we stayed ...
Mar 15, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia saw some profit taking ahead of FOMC EU stocks opening higher EU may officially authorize the start of Brexit talks on June 20 meeting China keeps building in disputed South China Sea Interesting to see ...
Mar 14, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Europe opened lower Brexit bill approved without any amendments – victory for May Article 50 not to be invoked before Mar 27 FTSE pushed to retest the highs 14 mln Americans to lose medicare coverage is ...
Mar 13, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia up with a grain of caution EU mixed US may give a 90-day notice to pull out from NAFTA Trump-Merkel to talk on NATO, Putin, Ukraine Article 50 may be triggered already on Tuesday If ...
Mar 10, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia higher EU opening higher   Volkswagen keeps cutting on top execs bonuses Akzo Nobel turned down EUR 21 bln offer from PPG Industries Looking to spin off chemical operations WikiLeaks offered technology companies to share ...
Mar 9, 2017- Forex Market Makers, PA, Supply and Demand ( Video Live Trading Room Edu – Mar 2, 2017) - Hi All, as usual, looking for intraday setups, a little bit different way of thinking... Building trading plan, preparing for both ways and of course has educational purpose only!Please check below how we did last time, was it profitable again ...
Mar 9, 2017 – (Chart of the Day) Pre-ECB EURUSD, EURGBP, EURCAD - Hi, It's again a "Super Mario" day as ECB will decide about Minimum Bid Rate. We can try to guess if he is going to be more dovish or less hawkish. The most important thing for you as a Trader, ...
Mar 9, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   China PPI higher, CPI lower Novo Nordisk bidding for Global Blood Therapeutics Akzo Nobel considering a merger or sale, now in talks with PPG Industries Suez acquiring GE Water (EUR 3.2 bln) AIG to relocate HQ ...
Mar 8, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asian stocks already taking profits and positioning ahead of FOMC next week Obamacare replacement will not be as smooth Trump would hope for Oil under pressure from expected rise in US inventories (market still oversupplied and ...
Mar 7, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia higher EU markets mixed open US deploying anti-missiles battery in South Korea North Korea was likely targeting US bases in Japan yesterday Markets finding Trump still loosing focus from economic topics, main message from US ...
Mar 6, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia in red on Fed rate hike prospects and slowing China China working on reforms to reign in the debt load, put in place measures to contain future financial crisis and shift the export lead to ...
Mar 6, 2017 – Live Market Coverage: Europe open - Mar 6, 2017 - Live Market Coverage: Europe open Hi,Please find below possible demand and supply zones based on 30 min charts with short comments and bias. DON'T TRADE them blindly, additional analysis is needed ! Follow Us on Twitter ...
Mar 5, 2017 – (Weekly Tech Overview) EURUSD – is it time for bears to decide ? Warning signs - Hi, ECB ( super Mario ) and NFP  this weeek, hopefully mkt will create trading opportunities and not decide to wait till 15th March LOL. We may try to joke around but EURUSD weekly chart is showing that bears should ...
Mar 3, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia in red EU opening lower Smaller companies in UK getting ready for Brexit as they keep cash and reduce investments Peugeot-Opel deal may be announced in a couple of days Henkel bidding for Darex Packaging ...
Mar 2, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia printed new highs after open EU opened lower Trump having financial difficulties with building Mexican wall   Fed speakers massaging the market with hawkish comments to get ready for potential Mar 15 hike Last one ...
Mar 1, 2017 – Forex (Chart of the day) USD Update - Mar 1, 2017 - Forex (Chart of the day) USD Update Hi, please find below daily dollar index chart, all comments on the chart ( at the same time EURUSD is testing potentialy strong demand and USDJPY potentialy strong supply ...
Mar 1, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   JP higher on weaker JPY, rest of Asia mixed EU opened higher US indices didn’t keep the gains on Trump disappointment as he was short of details about his plans on tax overhaul and infrastructure Open ...
Feb 28, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap Asia up on Wall Street and month-end flows EU trading mixed Trump met with Chinese official to talk about security and meeting with CN president Abe/Kuroda – will keep stimulus in place Some EU firms not able ...
Feb 27, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asia started on a bad note but recouped the losses EU markets opened higher Trump not to cut social welfare programs: Social Security and Medicare US Treasury Sec Mnuchin – fiscal stimulus impact this year muted ...
Feb 26, 2017 – Q4 Earnings – Week 7 -   Q4 Earnings – Week 2017-02-26 As we are moving closer to the end of earnings season we have got more international and medium to small companies reporting. Last week Royal Bank of Canada hit the CAD 3 bln earnings ...
Feb 26, 2017 – (Weekly Tech Overview) AUDUSD, EURAUD, AUDJPY - Feb 26, 2017 – (Weekly Tech Overview) AUDUSD, EURAUD, AUDJPY Hi All, Let's have a look at aussie charts...I know again but let's do it together: No change in my view, still bearish medium and long term. One can argue: ...
Feb 24, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asian shares lower, hit by slide in material shares on falling copper, iron ore and other commodities EZ risks still present, Japanese investors own 13% of French bonds If the Le Pen headlines continue we may ...
Feb 23, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap Asian stocks took a breather Europe opened mixed   FOMC Minutes showing cautiousness (not to forget that the meeting took place right after Trump inauguration that was accompanied with huge uncertainty) But lots has happened since then ...
Feb 22, 2017 – (Video) Risk – bit more + Land Of Trading Live Trading Room Edu - Feb 16, 2017 - (Video) Risk - bit more + Land Of Trading Live Trading Room Edu Hi,This time we did it a bit different. We went through majors and then I was trying to explain tacticts related to risk ...
Feb 22, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap Asian markets on positive note EU to open higher BoJ planning to be more transparent with announcing specific dates for bond buying operations (likely to avoid recent surprise moves) Kuroda: ready to easy more US Treasury Secretary ...
Feb 21, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap   Asian stocks mixed despite some speculations about China getting back on track EU to open lower with some caution ahead of Flash PMIs and after day off in US/CA Volatility staying extremely low (as mentioned yesterday), ...
Feb 20, 2017 – Market Update -   Short Recap US markets closed on Monday on account of President’s Day (not to get confused with Trump, reference is to George Washington birthday)  :o) CA markets closed as well on account of Family Day   DXY not reacting ...
Feb 20, 2017 – (Chart of the Day) PLN hit the supply, what’s next for USDPLN, EURPLN and CHFPLN ? - Hi All, After few weeks of positive flow ( correction / profit taking - whatever you want to name it ) PLN hit the wall of supply and looks like Friday / last week Price Action suggests lower levels to ...
Feb 19, 2017 – Q4 Earnings – Week 6 -   Q4 Earnings – Week 2017-02-19 Markets are still heavily skewed to watching Trump headlines and professional investors are more and more often adding the so called “Trump factor” to their expected return calculations. Some valuations are overstretched, especially financials ...
Feb 18, 2017 – (Video) Land of Trading Live Trading Room Edu - ofFeb 18, 2017 - (Video) Land Of Trading Live Trading Room Edu Hi,please find below recording of our latest Free Live Trading Room ( from 9th of February ) where ( as ususal ) we were looking for trading opportunities, ...
Feb 17, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap Asian stocks pausing Samsung VP in custody over bribery, shares down only 1% as the company has good track record in coming back from troubles Oil found support in talks about OPEC extending its production cut (now ...
Feb 16, 2017 – Market Update -   Short recap Asian stocks still supported by Wall Street US stocks at highs, valuations adjusted for inflation at 1997 levels   USD did some woo-doo after very strong US data yesterday when profit taking erased all the gains Yellen’s ...
-   Short recap Asian markets up on Wall Street and Yellen EU markets opening higher SoftBank Group to buy Fortress Investment Group (USD 3.3 bln) as it is preparing to enter the private equity space GM’s decision to put Opel/Vauxhall ...
- oHi, please find below recording of our latest Free Live Trading Room ( from 8th of February ) where we were looking for trading opportunities, enjoy ! Please don't hesitate to contact Us should you have additional questions. We are ...
- Short recap EU markets opening lower Oil staying range bound on OPEC cut compliance vs non-OPEC production rising The cut primarily by Saudis only WTI very range bound 52-54/54.50 Negative bias on US shale oil production rise prevails in the ...
- Q4 Earnings – Week 2017-02-12 Based on the earnings release the Q4 season easily qualifies as the best of the last six years. Despite all turbulence in the markets, post-US elections volatility, renewed optimism above US corporate world the higher ...
- Short recap EU markets higher Abe sure US will make major investments Expanding free trade to be done in a fair manner US will make currencies to fair level playing field but no specifics, USDJPY relief rally, later corrected Risk of ...
Feb 12, 2017 – Weekly Macro Overview (OPEC monthly report, China, UK, US Inflation, Yellen testifies) - Last week equity markets rallied on Trump’s tax promises and oil prices jumped on IEA Monthly Report as OPEC members cut production in January more or less as agreed. Therefore the OPEC report on Monday will likely have only minor ...
- Hi,for a long time, here at Land Of Trading we were USD bulls. The Price Action of the last two weeks on DX showing some signs of possible consolidation or even deeper pullback. What bulls need to do ? Quickly ...
- Hi, please find below recording of our latest Free Live Trading Room ( 2nd of February ) where we were looking for trading opportunities, enjoy !     Please don't hesitate to contact Us should you have additional questions. We ...
Feb 10, 2017 – Market Update - Short recap Trump honoured one China policy during the phone call with Chinese president EZ bond yields rising – on Le Pen only, really? May be the market is expecting QE taper at some point but what about traders just ...
- Short recap Asian markets lower on uncertainity about Trump pro-growth policies CN – property stocks enjoyed rally as may not face such headwinds as expected before EU markets mixed after positive start US 10-yr bond yield below 55 DMA what ...
- Hi,Please find below possible demand and supply zones based on 30 min charts with short comments and bias. DON'T TRADE them blindly, additional analysis is needed ! Follow Us on Twitter for further updates.     Join Us and check ...
- Q4 Earnings – Week 4 As we are in the middle of earnings season with US companies doing well, it is going to be interesting to see how their European counterparts will respond. Just by looking at underlying trends in ...
- Short recap After FOMC and NFPs – markets should be focusing on steps with longer term impact like Fed hiking, roll-back of Dodd-Frank regulation, intrustructure, Obamacare and tax reform than short-term vows over immigration ban. EURUSD – 1.0800/50 still in ...
- Hi, please find below recording of our latest Free Live Trading Room ( 31st of January ) where we were looking for trading opportunities, enjoy ! Please don't hesitate to contact Us should you have additional questions. We are here ...
-   The coming week won’t be boring at all and there are plenty of events to follow. First of all we have the RBA and the RBNZ rate decisions. Despite no change is expected in MPs  we will get a hint how ...
- Short recap   China is back from holidays POBC raised short term rates to reduce leverage and help CNY JP stocks found support in BoJ buying bonds, thus weakening JPY After 10-yr JP bonds yields touched 0.115%, the BoJ was ...
- Hi, please find below dollar index charts breakdown from monthly to intraday ( with different perspective ):   Happy Trading Mr Price Action DISCLAIMER: This material was created for informational purposes only and represents the Land of Trading team’s view ...
- Hi, please find below recording of our latest Free Live Trading Room ( 17th of January ) where we were looking for trading opportunities, enjoy !     Please don't hesitate to contact Us should you have additional questions. We ...
- During the recent months EURAUD tested lows around 1.4100-50 several times and seems that the long term declining trend is lossing momentum. Recently the cross slipped down to 1.4022 but was quickly rejected and returned back above 1.4100 and gives ...
- Technically the WTI chart showed a period of consolidation during the holiday season after the strong rally at the end of November. The market was uncertain about the direction and this indecision formed a double top, which the bears failed ...
- EURCZK floor removal   No interest of Czech National Bank (CNB) to do it before 2016 year end Officially looking to wait until summer …but there are elections taking place in Oct 2017 ...and CNB can eventually act soon, at ...
- Trump as a president   Sending mixed signals Leaning to protectionism Tax cuts and stimulus not clear meaning disappointment for the market Planning to withdraw from Trans-Pacific Partnership (Japan, Australian…etc., pact of 12 countries in total) To renegotiate NAFTA agreement ...
- We have plenty of interesting data next week among other PMIs, CPIs, GDPs and US housing. However Brexit could steal the headlines again as the UK Supreme Court is due to decide whether the government may use Royal Prerogative to ...
- Hi, please find below possible demand and supply zones based on 30 min charts with short comments and bias. DON'T TRADE them blindly, additional analysis is needed ! Follow Us on Twitter for further updates.     Join Us and ...
- Theresa May (UK) to speak at 1145 GMT (unconfirmed). Very likely the UK is heading toward the full (hard) Brexit and is willing to renegotiate the relationship with EU from the beginning. We believe that nobody should be surprised by ...
- After a sleepy Monday we will have some important bank earnings and we start this week the regular central bank meetings too. From US bank earnings worth to mention among others  Morgan Stanley, Citigroup and Goldman Sachs. From Central banks we have Bank of ...
- Hi, please find below possible demand and supply zones based on 30 min charts with short comments and bias. DON'T TRADE them blindly, additional analysis is needed ! Follow Us on Twitter for further updates.   Join Us and check ...
- It's important to know when big news can hit the market. One set of represents the regular Monetary Commitee Meeting of different central banks. Below you can find a quick overview of some important Central bank meetings for 2017. Please ...
- Hi, please find below possible demand and supply zones based on 30 min charts with short comments and bias. DON'T TRADE them blindly, additional analysis is needed ! Follow Us on Twitter for further updates.     Join Us and ...
- Hi, please find below possible demand and supply zones based on 30 min charts with short comments and bias. DON'T TRADE them blindly, additional analysis is needed ! Follow Us on Twitter for further updates.     Join Us and ...
- Hi, please find below possible demand and supply zones based on 30 min charts with short comments and bias. DON'T TRADE them blindly, additional analysis is needed ! Follow Us on Twitter for further updates.     Join Us and ...
- Hi, please find below possible demand and supply zones based on 30 min charts with short comments and bias. DON'T TRADE them blindly, additional analysis is needed ! Follow Us on Twitter for further updates.     Join Us and ...
- Hi, please find below possible demand and supply zones based on 30 min charts with short comments and bias. DON'T TRADE them blindly, additional analysis is needed ! Follow Us on Twitter for further updates.     Join Us and ...
- We are ahead of Commodity Index rebalancing next week. During this process Commodity Index funds adjust their portfolios to those indices they follow which often results in buying the worse performing commodities and selling the high performers. Corn and Wheat ...
- Hi, Week 25 ( of the last year 🙂 ) we started with bullish call on NAT  GAS ( you can chek it here ), then on 10th of October 2016 another call has been made and we took partial ...
Jan 8, 2017 (Chart of the Day) USDCHF – Looks bullish medium/long term - Hi, over the weekend I went through few charts and from medium/long term perspective USDCHF looks great ( bullish ) in my opinion.Please check the charts ( from monthly to daily ) with full explanation on them:   Join Us - FREE ...
Jan 8, 2017 WEEKLY MACRO OVERVIEW – WEEK 2 - After a quiet year-end we started the New Year in a pretty busy tone. The solid employment report on Friday helped to support equities and USD. The first full trading week ahead with less data however some of them could ...