Tag Archives: #bonds

How do Chinese bonds do amid trade war tensions?

Mr Hawk/ November 20, 2018/ Chart Of The Day, Charts Posts, Story Of The Week, Weekly Notes Posts/ 0 comments

Chinese bonds – Just wondering what the trade war means for Chinese bonds as the 10-yr government bonds yield declined to 3.40% from 3.90% this year alone, while the 10-yr China Development Bank bonds yield slid to 3.80% from 4.80% since January. Do I have to question the higher US yield and safety status of Trys? Amid the turbulence in

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A lesson from corporate bond space while 30-year US Trys rate is hitting the 4-year high

Mr Hawk/ November 2, 2018/ Story Of The Week, Weekly Notes Posts/ 0 comments

The US 30-year Trys rate touching 3.41% means printing a 4-yr high or a new high for the cycle. Lesson – historically if rates go up volatility goes up as well, thus creating a messy outlook for stocks, bonds and other asset clasees. But we still miss a significant move in bond markets despite recent correction in stocks or risk-on

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Feb 9, 2018 – Market Update

Mr Price Action/ February 9, 2018/ Market Update, Market Update Posts/ 0 comments

  European equities seem to be in a quite and cautious mood today after yesterday’s red day. US futures are up a what gives additional comfort to the market is also the calm in FX. Bonds are getting slightly sold but yields are not moving very high. It is an interesting situation when stocks got sold off heavily over the

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Jan 25, 2018 – Market Update (Trump up, Mnuchin down but market is concerned about who will buy US debt; ECB – just up is a problem but Draghi likely not to say anything again); EURUSD set to check 1.2500; Weaker USD good for equities; Gold – make or brake the 1380, then 1484…?; BofA with most blockchain patents; Qualcomm fined USD 1.2 bln by EU; Mexican drug cartels stealing fuel)

Mr Price Action/ January 25, 2018/ Market Update, Market Update Posts/ 0 comments

  Short recap Asia mixed to lower Europe opening lower Trump a year ago – USD strength means confidence in US and his presidency Mnuchin yesterday – USD weakness good for US economy …and market took it as a future direction of US policy In other words the US trade war has begun and weak USD is part of it Market is concerned about widening current

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Jan 18, 2018 – Market Update (Apple with USD 38 bln tax bill, bringing home USD 250 bln; Renault-Nissan a king over Volkswagen; Goldman Sachs dropping bond trading?; GE still on short side; Junk bonds spreads at record lows, China/Japan getting rid of Trys – nothing new; USDRUB floor between 55.70-56.00; Brent having hard time to stay above USD 70 mark; Biggest Bitcoin mines in China)

Mr Price Action/ January 18, 2018/ Market Update, Market Update Posts/ 0 comments

  Short recap Asia hitting record levels Europe opening higher on bullish sentiment from US and Asia China growing too fast with respect to economic and pollution standards Trump fighting back China with intellectual property breaches (likely getting ready for Davos) Loud calls for EZ reform with new fiscal rules (GE) and joint safe assets (FR)   Equities Cyber security start-ups having hard time

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Jan 11, 2018 – Market Update (Cryptos getting hit in SoKo, Chinese like Trys anyway, 10-yr Trys yields holds above 2.50% despite China/BoJ, USDJPY looking towards 110.00 ?, VIX above 10 but still very low, Bayer hoarding cash by selling more Covestro, Aramco seeking cheap loans ahead of IPO, PIMCO to buy more Trys on recent weakness, SNB with profit of USD 55 bln)

Mr Price Action/ January 11, 2018/ Market Update, Market Update Posts/ 0 comments

Short recap Asian in red as stocks getting nervous, VIX above 10 Europe opening lower Cryptos – SoKo preparing a trading ban, tax authorities cracking on some exchanges China – halt of Trys buying based on wrong info (I like it as some made a nice money..) US attacking NAFTA, opting for more protectionism While French Macron signing nice contracts in China   Equities Volatility still remains low but that can change

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Nov 15, 2017 – Market Update (Xi to visit NoKo one day, Mohammed El-Erian a new Fed vice-chair?, Stocks not comfortable with no new catalyst, GE story, Airbus – a new USD 40 bln order?, Volkswagen and police/tax authorities again, US yield curve flattening despite 2-yr yield hitting a 9-yr high, EURUSD – forget about H&S, looking at 1.1900, USDJPY to dip below 112.00)

Mr Price Action/ November 15, 2017/ Market Update, Market Update Posts/ 0 comments

  Short recap   Asia in red but BoJ active in ETF buying Europe opening lower Special envoy from China heading to NoKo on Nov 17 Central bankers talking about an end of easy money Mohammed El-Erian a new Fed vice-chair?   Risk bubbles rising across EMs: Military taking over in Zimbabwe, where is Mugabe? Venezuela defaulting, South Africa to be downgraded   Equities   Stocks not comfortable with

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Nov 13, 2017 – Market Update (May on the way out, Upcoming 2-3 weeks will shape the form of Brexit deal/no deal, Alibaba on fire with global Singles’ Day sales, Uber heading to IPO with Softbank getting closer to the deal, US inflation to show direction for yields, EURUSD back to range 1.1570/1.1670, Gold – long liquidation below 1280 level?)

Mr Price Action/ November 13, 2017/ Market Update, Market Update Posts/ 0 comments

  Short recap   Asia in red as investors becoming cautious on ability of US lawmakers to work out the tax reform Europe opening higher South China Sea disputes on again Upcoming 2-3 weeks will shape the form of Brexit deal As May is under enormous pressure from her own political party to step down While EU made it clear that UK needs to honor

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Nov 8, 2017 – Market Update (EURUSD – H&S almost done, US yields not supporting further USD strength – a correction coming?, Oil – China demand lower on pollution cuts, Gold stuck in 1263-1282 range, ECB Governing Council meeting – watch the comments as more hawks on the Board, Apple – EU asked for more details about tax structure, Bitcoin an asset class?)

Mr Price Action/ November 8, 2017/ Market Update, Market Update Posts/ 0 comments

    Short recap   Asia up Europe opening lower Trump in China to ask for China cutting financial ties with NoKo US-Chinese companies signed USD 9 bln deals USD impacted by headwinds/slowdown related to tax reform (implementation in 2019) As the tax cuts will spike the budget deficit and will have only temporary effect on the economy (according to Fitch) Brexit –

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Oct 26, 2017 – Market Update (ECB day today but should they do anything?, Turkish CB in the spotlight too, EURUSD range 1.1660-1.1860/1.1900+, Airbus-Bombardier deal a China story?, Brazil yields up on elections risk, VIX to loo for too long – recall the Aug 2015 China blow…)

Mr Price Action/ October 26, 2017/ Market Update, Market Update Posts/ 0 comments

  Short recap   Asia flat Europe opening flat China going for USD denominated bonds again (first issue from 2004) ECB day today – lots of uncertainties around QE cut back (low inflation, strong EUR vs growing economy) Still not clear whether ECB should do it today or not A Turkish Central Bank announcement important today As there are speculations about Germany (EU) to

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