We were right last time with the view of 1.1200 holding (link). Are bulls strong enough to hold 1.1300 this time, especially after Trump auto tariffs threat? If they can, we may see a rally towards 1.1500/50. If they can not, we may have a break and daily close below that level what may expose the 1.1200/1180 and even 1.1000.
Mar 8, 2018 – Market Update (ECB bit hawkish, tomorrow’s US NFPs’ earnings bit weaker can push EURUSD above 1.2500; EURUSD weekly – a funny joke 1998-2000; Fed- 5 hikes in 2018?; S&P 500 still a bit rich but reasonably attractive; USD and US deficit correlating as before dot.com bubble; USD decline impacting reserve currency status; Aramco IPO going against OPEC?)
Short recap Asia in green after strong US session yesterday On Trump softer on tariffs – but do not get mislead by risk on mood Europe opening flat to higher ECB today likely to confirm a gradual shift But still not major change in wording Draghi to talk down any hawkish views despite strong EZ economy Fed 4 hikes warranted, eventually