Tag Archives: #Trys

How do Chinese bonds do amid trade war tensions?

Mr Hawk/ November 20, 2018/ Chart Of The Day, Charts Posts, Story Of The Week, Weekly Notes Posts/ 0 comments

Chinese bonds – Just wondering what the trade war means for Chinese bonds as the 10-yr government bonds yield declined to 3.40% from 3.90% this year alone, while the 10-yr China Development Bank bonds yield slid to 3.80% from 4.80% since January. Do I have to question the higher US yield and safety status of Trys? Amid the turbulence in

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A lesson from corporate bond space while 30-year US Trys rate is hitting the 4-year high

Mr Hawk/ November 2, 2018/ Story Of The Week, Weekly Notes Posts/ 0 comments

The US 30-year Trys rate touching 3.41% means printing a 4-yr high or a new high for the cycle. Lesson – historically if rates go up volatility goes up as well, thus creating a messy outlook for stocks, bonds and other asset clasees. But we still miss a significant move in bond markets despite recent correction in stocks or risk-on

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Feb 6, 2018 – Market Update (No recession short-term, healthy correction done, no global contagion, so let’s hunt for bargains; One Fed hike is priced off; Watch today for Trys yields, JPY crosses, VIX; New turning points for VIX at 22 & 30; XIV a problem for Credit Suisse; BNSF Railway (part of Berkshire) joining Blockchain in Transport Alliance; Hedging by book: long gold, JPY, 10- and 30-yr Trys; The panic is over, moving to the last leg up of 2009 bull run; German coalition talks well covered blockchain)

Mr Price Action/ February 6, 2018/ Market Update, Market Update Posts/ 0 comments

  Short recap   Asia in red Europe opening lower US Congress to vote on government funding German coalition talks well covered blockchain technology to make Germany a fintech hub Draghi not ok with EUR volatility due to potential inflation miss Kuroda – no near-term hikes   Question – what now?   Honestly, I am not sure either… …as Janet is celebrating and Powell not being

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Feb 2, 2018 – Market Update (NFPs day but a high bar for USD to rise, Trys rising but where is the USD?, Rising yields challenging stocks (dividend/higher financing), Strong EUR to weight on EU stocks soon, Italy in or out?, eBay dumping PayPal and going for Adyen, Insurers to sell cryptos theft protection)

Mr Price Action/ February 2, 2018/ Market Update, Market Update Posts/ 0 comments

  Short recap   Asia lower Europe opening mixed Strong EUR to weigh on EU stocks soon 10-yr Trys yield above 2.75% putting pressure on stocks As dividend yield is not as attractive as before and cost of financing for companies is getting higher With recent rise in US yields, economic numbers and improving earnings season Are we going to

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Jan 18, 2018 – Market Update (Apple with USD 38 bln tax bill, bringing home USD 250 bln; Renault-Nissan a king over Volkswagen; Goldman Sachs dropping bond trading?; GE still on short side; Junk bonds spreads at record lows, China/Japan getting rid of Trys – nothing new; USDRUB floor between 55.70-56.00; Brent having hard time to stay above USD 70 mark; Biggest Bitcoin mines in China)

Mr Price Action/ January 18, 2018/ Market Update, Market Update Posts/ 0 comments

  Short recap Asia hitting record levels Europe opening higher on bullish sentiment from US and Asia China growing too fast with respect to economic and pollution standards Trump fighting back China with intellectual property breaches (likely getting ready for Davos) Loud calls for EZ reform with new fiscal rules (GE) and joint safe assets (FR)   Equities Cyber security start-ups having hard time

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Jan 15, 2018 – Market Update (USD hit by non-US monetary tightening, No Bitcoin ETFs/mutual funds (for now), Bulls at extreme levels, SoftBank to list mobile biz, EUR longs up again, EURUSD to consolidate today, Gold to attack 2017 high at 1357, facing 1357-1375 range resistance)

Mr Price Action/ January 15, 2018/ Market Update, Market Update Posts/ 0 comments

  Short recap Asia in green Europe opening higher Trumps racist comments are dangerous in general And can also change the behaviour of the public Thus hurting the consumption habits, investments and economy FR and GE looking at EZ investment budget/reforms USD hit by markets pricing monetary policy tightening in other developed countries Bitcoin ETF Fast Track Derailed by SEC Liquidity, Safety Worries  link Applications for 12 ETFs and

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Jan 11, 2018 – Market Update (Cryptos getting hit in SoKo, Chinese like Trys anyway, 10-yr Trys yields holds above 2.50% despite China/BoJ, USDJPY looking towards 110.00 ?, VIX above 10 but still very low, Bayer hoarding cash by selling more Covestro, Aramco seeking cheap loans ahead of IPO, PIMCO to buy more Trys on recent weakness, SNB with profit of USD 55 bln)

Mr Price Action/ January 11, 2018/ Market Update, Market Update Posts/ 0 comments

Short recap Asian in red as stocks getting nervous, VIX above 10 Europe opening lower Cryptos – SoKo preparing a trading ban, tax authorities cracking on some exchanges China – halt of Trys buying based on wrong info (I like it as some made a nice money..) US attacking NAFTA, opting for more protectionism While French Macron signing nice contracts in China   Equities Volatility still remains low but that can change

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Nov 9, 2017 – Market Update (Brexit saga continues – EU giving UK 2-3 weeks to come up with something, GE signing deals (USD 3.5 bln) in China Marks & Spencer speeding up stores closures on weak sales, 10-yr Trys yield key levels 2.27% & 2.50% to show DXY direction, EURUSD cluelessly waiting for US yields and stocks, Offshore investor flows into Japanese stocks continue)

Mr Price Action/ November 9, 2017/ Market Update, Market Update Posts/ 0 comments

  Short recap   Asia up Europe opening higher US tax reform in place likely in 2019 on respecting proper budget rules TPP – 11 countries at the table and discussing UAE investigating financial transactions/assets of 19 Saudis at its banks Brexit saga – EU giving UK 2-3 weeks to bring the bill otherwise not able to prepare for Dec

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Oct 27, 2017 – Short recap after ECB (Trys yields up, Bund yields down, Draghi played dovish, EURUSD getting closer to important 1.1500, Are we going back to 1.0500/1.1500 range?, 1w RR favouring puts, USDJPY – spot lagging the move higher as the US yields steadily rise, Spot close to critical 115.00, 1w RR favouring further upside)

Mr Price Action/ October 27, 2017/ Market Update, Market Update Posts/ 0 comments

  Short recap after ECB…   Bonds   10-yr Trys yield at 2.46% up from 2.43% yesterday 10-yr Bund yield at 0.42% down from 0.48% yesterday   EURUSD   Draghi played it well as the whole picture looks more dovish than rising rates environment eslewhere After yesterday’s move on spot 1w RR favouring puts s Spported by longs liquidation as well as Draghi doesn’t

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Oct 6, 2017 – Market Update (Biz moving out making Catalonian politicians to think twice as Quebec is a nice example, NFPs & DXY – Good number Ok, bad number…because of hurricanes…as simple as that, EURUSD watching 1.1662 & 1.1615/05, USDJPY ready to test 113.25 & 113.37, Republicans moving on taxes, Fed warning of inflation/debt)

Mr Price Action/ October 6, 2017/ Market Update, Market Update Posts/ 0 comments

  Short recap   Asia up, inspired by US stocks printing new highs on tax reform hopes EU opening higher Republicans moving on taxes, Fed warning of inflation and unsustainable debt IMF still supports accommodative policy from ECB, BoJ Italian CB asking ECB to soften bad-loan plans ECB to put legal restrictions on ICOs Bitcoin may fall to their jurisdiction anyway But ICOs is a more securities area than

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